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Friday, 29 November 2024
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Iran: The Guardian of the Jurist and Political Chess!
عبد الرحمن کورکی

The Telegraph newspaper in London reported that "Trump's election has bewildered the mullah regime in Iran and is the worst possible scenario for Khamenei and his brutal militias of the Revolutionary Guard." The media outlet stated: "Trump's return is the worst nightmare for Iran and poses a clear threat to the continuation of the Guardian of the Jurist in Tehran. The Guardian could not tolerate the return of his enemy to the White House, which is why he ordered Trump's assassination in September."

Fox News reported, "Today, Iran must prepare to face a man who has long been the target of assassination plots against him." CNN mentioned, "Brian Hook described Iran as the main destabilizing factor in the Middle East."

Undoubtedly, the U.S. elections represent a significant shift with serious implications for the situation in Iran, as Iran is a hotspot for crisis production in the region and the world. The nature of the impact of Trump's victory on developments in the region depends on his plans, policies, and priorities regarding domestic politics and economics in America, the Russia-Ukraine war, and the conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon, as well as the strategic directions of these two wars. It is clear that the certainty is that Trump's second term in office will be entirely different from the first. Consequently, the Middle East, especially due to its vital role in the political and economic interests of the United States, will witness significant transformations that could be "decisive" in determining the future.

**The Collapse of the Guardian of the Jurist System!**

The crisis of "overthrowing" stands at the forefront of the challenges facing the Iranian regime. The Iranian people do not want this regime and reject it vehemently, just as they did with the monarchy that they successfully overthrew. The ruling Guardian of the Jurist is anxious about this anger, and all his activities and efforts on both sides of the border stem from this concern. The ignition of wars beyond borders, the export of his regressive ideas to other countries, the spread of terrorism, and the pursuit of nuclear weapons all aim at the same goal.

Now, all these crises and transformations have sounded the alarm for the end of this regime, and the removal of the ruling religious system in Iran has become imminent. The ruling Guardian of the Jurist is fully aware that the fall of his regime will not be at the hands of foreign powers, but will come from the Iranian people in accordance with their inevitable destiny.

**Trump's Stance on Iran!**

Although Trump, during his previous term, tore up the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action and withdrew from the agreement, and although he ordered the killing of Qassem Soleimani and still prides himself on that historic act, Brian Hook, one of the officials from Trump's administration, stated, "President Trump is not interested in changing the regime, as he has repeatedly emphasized during his four years in office that the decision regarding the future of Iran rests with the Iranian people." Therefore, the first conclusion from his return to power could be that "Trump fundamentally opposes U.S. involvement in distant wars," as he sees no need to bear the human and material costs of such a project. (CNN, November 7, 2024).

It is worth noting that the Iranian resistance has consistently asserted that "overthrowing the dictatorship in Iran is the responsibility of the people and the Iranian resistance," and has never placed their hope in foreign governments to change the regime. The resistance's slogan is "independence," and it believes in the saying, "No one can scratch your back but your own nail," as evidenced by its stances and actions.

**The Final Word!**

When we juxtapose these two strategies and reflect upon them, we discover that despite their differences, they are complementary. The primary tool that Trump relies on in dealing with the Iranian religious regime, which attempted to assassinate him even on U.S. soil, involves reactivating the "maximum pressure" policy and potentially directing strikes against the regime's militias outside Iran's borders. The regime is well aware of Trump's strong reluctance to engage in a full-scale war. However, the undeniable truth is that Khamenei knows full well that the people and the Iranian resistance are fully prepared to overthrow his regime, and no matter how long it takes, the people and the resistance will inevitably bring down this fascist regime sooner or later—an outcome that is unavoidable and imminent!

**Written by Abd al-Rahman Korki (Mihabadi)**