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Wednesday, 16 April 2025
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Sharp Iranian Division Ahead of Saturday Negotiations
ترامب وإيران

Developments are accelerating in Tehran amid rising U.S. pressures, as U.S. President Donald Trump announced on the evening of April 7, 2025, that "direct negotiations are currently taking place with the Iranian regime," emphasizing that "a crucial meeting will be held next Saturday."

Trump's statements followed Washington's tightening of its policy toward the Iranian regime, stating explicitly: "If negotiations fail, the Iranian regime will face a grave danger, because Iran must not possess nuclear weapons under any circumstances."

These statements revealed the sharp contradictions within the Iranian regime, especially after Ali Khamenei's speech on February 8, in which he clearly stated: "Negotiating with America... with a government like this is not permissible; it is neither rational nor smart nor honorable to negotiate."

However, this stance suddenly changed after Abbas Araqchi, the regime’s foreign minister, announced on his “X” platform account that "Iran and the United States will meet on Saturday in Oman for high-level indirect talks."

The shift in stance triggered an internal conflict within the Iranian regime. On April 9, lawmaker Sabaghiyan Baqfi attacked Foreign Minister Araqchi, stating: "A believer should not be bitten by the same hole twice... Do not be deceived by Trump’s carrot, and do not fear his stick; the people will remind you of the Turkmenchay and Golestan treaties if you fail."

In the same parliament, MP Ahmadi shouted: "Didn't Khamenei say that negotiating with America isn't honorable? How can our foreign minister negotiate with the killer of Qassem Soleimani?"

Another deputy from the conservative faction remarked: "On Saturday, dialogue will begin with the enemy… He stated it clearly: either surrender or blood. Anyone who fails to see this is willfully closing their eyes."

A state of media division also prevailed, with one analyst from the regime-affiliated "Jaryan" channel warning: "Do we not remember Qaddafi's fate? Why repeat his mistake and go into negotiations empty-handed?"

In contrast, the government of Bezhaki tried to justify its position, with government spokesperson Mohajerani stating: "We will engage in rational negotiations wisely," while the regime-leaning website "Fararu" wrote: "In August 2025, Europeans will start the activation of the trigger mechanism, and a nuclear agreement must be reached before then to avoid comprehensive sanctions."

The newspaper "Donya-ye Eghtesad" warned that "the West will undoubtedly activate the trigger mechanism if no agreement is reached." 

Former diplomat Fereydoun Majlisi lamented: "Some within the regime have spoiled the nuclear agreement process, and now we wish we could return to it to get out of this impasse."

Thus, the Iranian regime finds itself in a sharp strategic impasse: between a faction that fears the fate of Muammar Qaddafi and another that believes ignoring negotiations will mean an inevitable economic and international downfall.

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