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Tuesday, 16 April 2024
  • Iranian escalation eastward, and the West's choices from the Iranian rush and its policies recently

Iranian escalation eastward, and the West's choices from the Iranian rush and its policies recently
Nizar Mousa

Iran's disharmony with the West alternates in several eras on the surface, although it is consistent with it in others, such as in the eighties in particular.
However, the ruling political regimes and the diverse orientations in Iran in the past were the ones that relied on this in light of the stability of Western policies towards them and towards the region as a whole, but what we see recently is the form of abstaining difference in the Iranian orientation, under the current Khamenei regime towards Israel, as well as the fragile understanding and difficult to revive despite its fragility with the United States of America and its European allies in the Vienna negotiating marathon.

Despite that, the form of the relationship in its practical reality shows a clear understanding between Iran and America in the region, its beginning was in theArab Gulf, Iraq and Lebanon, followed by coexistences in Syria and Yemen, and the region has thus become on the table of those understandings, alternating on its parts escalation as crisis tools that serve the fragile reality as a way to a hoped-for understanding, making the region a strategic dimension for Iran,It achieves unrivalled political glory in a region dominated by Sunni affiliation allied with the West.The Western-Russian conflict in Ukraine was the separator in the global alignments, and the emergence of Iran in the anti-Western camp gave a new dimension to the merits of its bargaining with America in the region, so Iran suddenly escalated in the region again, in response to plans to rearrange the East, based on giant economic foundations that serve the West in its conflict with Russia It serves its allies in the region, as well as reassures the Gulf countries, led by Saudi Arabia, after the clear dynamism in its new policies, so the new energy corridor, emanating from India through the Middle East and Israel to reach Europe, has become an alternative to Chinese proposals, to turn into modern silk roads that are not limited to energy alone.

This will achieve an organic and strategic link between the West and its allies, which may achieve the hoped-for stability in the region on the one hand, and choose Iran to resolve its position and alignment with the Sunni leaders in the region, from its current choice of considering itself an alternative rather than a partner.While the latest developments in Gaza and their consequences, which may have been unexpected, are particularly worrying as the unexpected breach of the Israeli fortress by Hamas, and the possibility of the situation spiraling out of control, which in turn portends accelerated arrangements for the Middle East,As described by both Netanyahu and Biden if Iran takes other escalatory steps, in light of Iran's exploitation of appropriate conditions and timings for the rules of engagement in the region on the one hand, and for the interests of its new camp on the other hand, which threatens to transfer the conflict from the West to the Middle East as well, to shuffle the cards and turn the tables on the mentioned programs in the region for a possible rearrangement.

Iran's behavior and accelerating impulses, those based on America's ambiguous policies in the previous stage, seem to threaten the usual lines in building its policies for the West, and its non-compliance with the international desire regarding the issue of its nuclear reactors, which is worrying to the West and to the Sunni and Gulf milieu in the region.Not to mention its rebellious arms against legitimacy in several countries, which threaten the security of the region and Israel, especially after the arrival of one of its arms to the southern Syrian front to Israel, which has become a matter of great concern to America, which requires a response, the course of this response may be to address Iran's tools at this stage, which in turn rode pivotal issues that are still pending in the Middle East, and thus turned them into issues that serve its Shiite orientations in a fairweed manner.(Microbial abundant reproduction), exceeded the specificity of existing boundaries in the region. It has therefore focused on the core, disturbingly replicating its victims and using it to serve its agenda.

This made America, apparently, to be sure that the Middle East is integrated in its issues, and does not resemble others, and realized the need to go to reposition its forces in the region, to protect its interests and the interests of its allies in the face of upcoming developments carrying major surprises that may lead to resolving many issues in the region, and promoting and sustaining normalization between Israel and the Arab countries, or to familiarize themselves with the situation and partially address, especially after the recent developments to avoid greater consequences, until the next round.

BY: Nizar Mousa