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Monday, 20 January 2025
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  • Regional and International Changes, and the Fate of the Iranian Regime After the Fall of the Assad Regime

Regional and International Changes, and the Fate of the Iranian Regime After the Fall of the Assad Regime
عيد النعيمات

The fall of the Assad regime in Syria imposes a new reality regionally and internationally, forcing global powers to deal with the consequences on the ground after the Iranian regime's arms and connections have been severed in Syria and Lebanon. Will the international community reassess its stance to stand by the Iranian people in their quest to change the regime and establish a democratic alternative?

We all acknowledge from Iran to Iraq, the Gulf, Syria, Jordan, Lebanon, Palestine, and Yemen that democratic change in Iran is necessary, as it will bring stability and prosperity to the entire region, including revolutionary Syria, which has triumphed and toppled the destructive system allied with the mullahs—a system that dealt with the Syrian people and their revolution according to a scorched earth policy. Jordan was not far from this policy and paid a heavy price for it, being targeted under the pretext of urgent necessity for the liberation of Palestine. Yet, they have not liberated the Golan Heights or Palestine, and neither Gaza nor Lebanon will bring them anything other than inciting international powers in favor of Israel and supporting its genocide and displacement efforts. That war was merely a key to the collapse of the resistance axis, sacrificed dramatically and swiftly, which did not align with the clamor and screams we had heard. Despite the immense sacrifices endured by the Syrian people, they managed to reclaim their country, despite the destruction and desolation that remained in the form of fragile remnants of ruins. In light of Israel's disgraceful haste to destroy what remained of weapons and factories, the people acted with the hopes that had long been awaited; for it, all sacrifices and losses diminish in comparison to the victory that restores life to a people that has suffered under the tyranny and oppression of its leadership.

After the devastation in Gaza and the displacement of its people, and the destruction and annihilation in Lebanon; all this occurring under the watchful eye of the international community, which dealt with these disasters indifferently, viewing them as part of the Arab region where they seek to exert more pressures to subdue through the Iranian regime and its regional tools. However, today, after the mullahs' defeat in Syria and Lebanon and their sacrifices for the resistance axis, their prestige has waned, and they no longer have much to proceed with in terms of maneuvering, bargaining, and extortion. After the collapse of their regional crescent project, they now face a cautious retreat in Iran, Iraq, the Gulf, and Yemen.

The question today is, what does the Iranian regime have left to maneuver with? Is the nuclear project still a means that can be used for negotiations, or has nuclear weaponry become a fait accompli, awaiting the right moment for announcement, as some have hinted and as U.S. officials and the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency have stated? Are the rumors about Iran's missile projects coupled with its move towards acquiring nuclear weapons one of the means of maneuvering in light of the regime's defeat in Syria, Lebanon, and the region? Has the Iranian regime entered a phase of retreat and then death, which may compel a certain global trend to comply with the demands of the Iranian people simply by standing beside them, resisting, and recognizing the legitimacy of their struggle and their right, alongside the resistance units, to defend themselves against the Iranian regime's repressive apparatus, especially the Revolutionary Guard, as former U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo stated?

As "lovers of humanity and sincere champions of our countries, regions, and their peoples," we seek salvation for the Iranian people and stability for the region... salvation that protects the victory of the Syrian revolution and its gains and nurtures a glimmer of hope in Lebanon... salvation that liberates Yemen and Iraq and restores security and stability to the region... and this can only be achieved by implementing the ten-point platform proposed by the Iranian resistance, which aligns with the interests and needs of the countries and peoples of the region and meets the aspirations of all components of the Iranian people.

Yes, we see the free international powers standing by the Iranian people and their resistance, but this is not enough. The international legitimacy must recognize the suffering of the Iranian people and acknowledge their right to confront the dictatorial, oppressive, and tyrannical conditions that have afflicted lives, dignity, and beliefs among certain segments of the Iranian people who suffer from racism. Will the international community and its institutions move forward alongside the Iranian people in light of the regional and global changes that have occurred, or will it maintain its policies, imposing its tools on the region?

Tomorrow is near for those who have eyes to see...

Dr. Eid Al-Naimat / Former Jordanian Parliament Member